$UBER Is Starting to Look Like a No-Brainer
$UBER trades at roughly 15x 2027 earnings and 12x 2028 earnings , despite expectations for double-digit annual growth through 2030. The discount largely reflects fears that robotaxis could disrupt its business and limit future cash flows to shareholders.
But autonomous mobility is likely to remain fragmented across Waymo, Tesla, AVride, Zoox and others. Consumers will not want a separate app for every provider, while fleet operators will need massive scale to support the capital costs of deploying, maintaining and replacing vehicles.
Over time, autonomous-driving companies may increasingly act as equipment providers, while platforms such as $UBER remain the primary service and distribution layer.
Execution risk remains, but at 15x 2027 earnings , the valuation may already compensate for it. Successful robotaxi expansion in a few major cities could quickly put $UBER back above $100 .