Bitcoin’s Midterm Election Pattern: Sharp Drops Followed by Strong Recoveries

Bitcoin has shown a similar pattern around the last three U.S. midterm elections: a significant decline before recovering over the following year.
2014: BTC fell 50% in 71 days, then gained 24.5% over the next year.
2018: BTC dropped 50% in 38 days, followed by a 44.9% recovery.
2022: BTC declined 25% in 13 days, then surged 92.3% over the following year.
With the 2026 U.S. midterm elections approaching, investors will be watching to see whether this historical pattern repeats.
Past performance does not guarantee future results, and three election cycles are not enough to establish a reliable trend.